Saturday, October 27, 2007

NFL Week 8 Predictions: Half Empty Or Half Full?

Here we are. Halfway home on yet another up-and-down NFL season. As I set out on my trek to be the next great NFL prognosticator, I had high hopes for one big reason – there was no money involved.

If you know me, you know I am many things – a lousy sports gambler being one of them.

Always have been. No reason to think I always will be. But the reason I have enjoyed the art of gambling over the years isn’t for the financial boom or bust – it's the drama. More so, it’s the pride.

Who among us doesn’t like to say, "I was right." And when the banter in your social circle revolves around the world of sports, what better way to strut your stuff than with making the right pick.

So although I abandoned the practice of putting my money behind my picks, I have always kept an eye on the lines as a measure of how I could've done.

After all, a close second to "Told you so" in the pantheon of self-assurance is the good ol' fashioned "would’ve, could’ve, should’ve." Am I wrong?

We love to beat ourselves up over what could’ve been. And what better way to do so then to keep track of the coin you could’ve had with a simple pick.

Of course, the convenient flipside is that when you miss, it’s a reward in itself. "Nice, I knew I shouldn’t have touched that game," runs through my head as I watch my sure thing of the day get blown all to hell.

And all that is a long-winded way of saying I am in awe of the absolute atrociousness of this year’s NFL picks in my weekly war with Craig from Johnny Wishbone.

Did I think I’d be perfect? Hardly.
Did I think I’d miss them all? What are you nuts?
But a track record right around .600 or so seemed a very attainable goal. After all, I didn’t have money on it and that’s when I seem to do best.

But here I am heading into Week 8 at a mark of 38-61-2. Thanks to the handy dandy calculator built into my laptop, I can tell you that gives me a 37 percent accuracy rate.

It’s almost enough to make a grown man cry. Or at least give up altogether and invest in my longstanding fascination with Curling. (For those keeping score at home, I love the Finland team this year – they look real strong and very focused).

Here’s my Week 8 picks. For anyone looking to this column for advice, my God have mercy on your sports betting soul.

My pick in ALL CAPS…

Browns at RAMS (+2.5)
Lions at BEARS (-4.5)
COLTS (-7) at Panthers
Giants at DOLPHINS (+9.5)
Raiders at TITANS (-6.5)
EAGLES (-.5) at Vikings
Steelers at BENGALS (+2.5)
Bills at JETS (-2.5)
TEXANS (+11.5) at Chargers
Jaguars at TAMPA BAY (-3.5)
SAINTS (-2.5) at Niners
Redskins at PATRIOTS (-16.5)
PACKERS (+2.5) at Broncos

Lock of the week: COLTS

Wednesday, October 24, 2007

NFL Prediction Battle: Week 7 Results

So close but yet so far.

I finally get an above .500 week under my belt for the first time since Week 1 and I still lose to Craig from Johnny Wishbone. If you told me the Dolphins were gonna score 28 at home, I would’ve told you to bet the house on the 16.5 spread against the Patriots.

I deserve to lose for betting on a team with Cleo Lemon at QB.

At least I’ve been money on my locks. That and a quarter will get me a gum ball from the supermarket vending machine.

Me: 7-5
Craig: 8-6

On the year: 38-61-2
Lock of the week: 5-2

Thursday, October 18, 2007

NFL Week 7 Predictions: A Solo Project

No time for chit chat.

Here’s the picks. Just me this week.

My pick in ALL CAPS…

Cards at REDSKINS (-9)
Falcons at SAINTS (-8)
Vikings at COWBOYS (-9.5)
Patriots at DOLPHINS (+16.5)
Niners at GIANTS (-9)
BUCS (+2) at Lions
Titans at TEXANS (+1)
CHIEFS (+3) at Raiders
Jets at BENGALS (-6)
BEARS (+5) at Eagles
RAMS (+8) at Seahawks
Steelers at BRONCOS (+3.5)
COLTS (-3) at Jaguars

Lock of the Week: COLTS

NFL Prediction Battle: Week 6 Results



Eric: 5-6-2
Craig: 6-5-2
Shelly: 4-7-2
The Penny: 5-6-2

I lost. Craig won. I hate Pick ‘Em.

Enjoy the pic of Shockey. I'm really starting to hate the Giants.

At least I beat Shelly and The Penny.

YEAR TO DATE: 31-56-2
Lock Of The Week: 4-2
VS. Craig: 1-4-1

Saturday, October 13, 2007

NFL Week 6 Predictions: Big Mo On My Side

Man, it feels good to be off the schnide. Finally got a win under my belt last week in the season-long Pick ‘Em battle against Craig from Johnny Wishbone.

Let’s see if we can keep it going in Week 6, shall we.

Also making return guest appearances this week are Shelly and Abe Lincoln. But since it’s my blog, I go first.

"It’s good to be the King."

Eric's picks (in ALL CAPS):
BENGALS (-3) at Chiefs
TEXANS (+6.5) at Jaguars
Dolphins at BROWNS (-4.5)
Vikings at BEARS (-5)
EAGLES (-3.5) at Jets
RAMS (+9.5) at Ravens
Titans at TAMPA BAY (-3)
Redskins at PACKERS (-3)
Panthers at CARDINALS (-4.5)
Patriots at DALLAS (+5.5)
Raiders at CHARGERS (-9.5)
SAINTS (+6.5) at Seattle
GIANTS (-3.5) at Falcons

LOCK OF THE WEEK: CHARGERS

Shelly’s picks (which she would like everyone to know were not influenced by my picks):
BENGALS
TEXANS
BROWNS
BEARS
EAGLES
RAMS
BUCS
PACKERS
CARDINALS
PATRIOTS
RAIDERS
SAINTS
FALCONS

The Penny (home team is heads):
BENGALS
JAGUARS
BROWNS
BEARS
EAGLES
RAMS
TAMPA BAY
REDSKINS
CARDINALS
COWBOYS
CHARGERS
SAINTS
GIANTS

Tuesday, October 9, 2007

NFL Prediction Battle: Week 5

Go figure. I finally win a week in Pick ‘Em against Craig from Johnny Wishbone and the dude is in another freaking country until the weekend.

Nevertheless, chalk up the W!

And since he’s not here to post a picture of my beloved Bears on his site for the first time all year, I’ll go ahead and give the Monsters of the Midway a little love here ‘til he gets back.

But once you’re back Craig, I expect that photo up.

As I chronicled earlier this week, I’ve been so bad this year, I wanted to test my skills against two other formidable opponents – my fiancée and a penny.

Sadly, while I bested Shelly and Craig, Abe Lincoln proved to be too powerful. Arrrrgh.

HIT:
FALCONS (+8.5) at Titans
Lions at REDSKINS (-3.5)
Seahwaks at STEELERS (-6.5)
Cowboys at BILLS (+10.5)
BEARS (+3.5) at Packers
Browns at PATRIOTS (-13.5)

MISSED:
CARDS (-3.5) at Rams
Panthers at SAINTS (-3.5)
Jaguars at CHIEFS (+2.5)
Dolphins at TEXANS (-5.5)
JETS (+3.5) at Giants
TAMPA BAY (+10.5) at Colts
RAVENS (-3.5) at Niners
Chargers at BRONCOS (-1.5)

Total: 6-8
On The Season: 26-50 (yuk)
Lock of the Week: PATRIOTS (3-2 on the year)


SHELLY: 5-9 (hit ATL, MIA, NYG, IND, CHI)

THE PENNY: 9-5 (hit STL, CAR, WASH, NYG, IND, SF, SD, BUF, CHI)

CRAIG: 5-9 (hit WASH, JAX, NYG, BUF, NE)

On The Season Vs Craig: 1-3-1

Monday, October 8, 2007

Heartbreak In Buffalo & The Bronx

Couple of random notes before I sit down to watch "Heroes"...

Few of us had any reason to tune in to the Cowboys-Bills game on Monday night. A 10.5 spread. 4-0 vs. 1-3. All the makings of a real yawner. Luckily for me, the game had fantasy implications so I tuned in.

Wow, what a game! Honestly, if you didn’t watch there is nothing I can write and no highlight package you can see that will do this game justice.

Believe it or not, the Bills dominated that game from start to finish. They intercepted Romo’s first two passes of the game, returning one for a TD.

They were able to do what four teams before them could not – make Tony Romo look very human. He threw 5 picks (should’ve been 6 if the DB holds onto the ball in the 4th) and fumbled once, prompting the irreverent Mr. Kornheiser to dub his performance a “Rex Grossman game.”

Thanks for getting a Bears mention in there TK.

But the Bills did what bad teams do – find a way to lose. There might not be a more basic play in football than to recover an opposing team’s onside kick. The Bills couldn’t do it. And soon Nick Folk (Go UA!!) was splitting the uprights from 53 to silence a raucous Buffalo crowd for good.

My heart goes out to Bills fans. They haven’t hosted a Monday Night game since 1994. And this is what happens. An absolutely heartbreaking loss. Honestly, I haven’t seen a game shift from complete domination to defeat so swiftly in some time.

Absolutely brutal.

Dallas only led for 2 seconds the entire night. Unfortunately for the Bills, it was the final 2 seconds of the game.

On the brightside, the Bills plus 10.5 was my lock of the week. I know what you’re thinking – let me say it for you: Yes, I’m a genius.

...

I am absolutely shocked and equally impressed by the Cleveland Indians handling of the Yankees.

I didn’t watch a single at bat, so can’t offer too much insight. But all the highlights I saw was a whole lot of Tribe offense and some really lousy Yankee pitching.

Red Sox are gonna have their hands full. I envision a lot of offense coming very soon to the ALDS.

Beyond CC Sabathia, I’m not sold on Cleveland’s rotation (even 19 game winner Fausto Carmona doesn’t wow me), but I really like their lineup. They are young and fearless. Don’t expect them to be intimidated by the Fenway faithful. After all, as a group of young bucks, most of them have never been here before… and ignorance is bliss.

Tribe in 7.

...

NLDS: Rockies in 6. That’s all I’m saying about this series.

...

And with that, since I am not a man to skirt the issue, some final words on my Chicago Cubs in 2007.

I mentioned this in an earlier post, but Game 1 was the first time I questioned Lou all year long. Seriously. And it happened twice in that game, beginning with the starting lineup.

How you bat the strikeout-prone Jacque Jones in the 2 hole and put Ryan Theriot eighth is completely beyond me. Made no sense and it was a bad call. Twice, the two spot came up with two outs and men on, and Jones couldn’t get it done.

Gotta think a guy like Theriot who is a contact machine fairs better in those spots.

And of course, pulling Zambrano after 85 pitches in the 6th inning was nothing but head scratching. Nice job saving the guy for a game we never made it to.

But I’m cautiously optimistic for 2008. We went from the NL’s worst record to division champs.

Considering Soriano, Derrek Lee, Aramis Ramirez and even Zambrano had essentially the worst years of their careers numbers-wise, I’m very excited to see what happens when we give it another go next year. And gotta figure a Torii Hunter, Andruw Jones or maybe, just maybe that 3B from the Bronx finds their way to Wrigley.

Spring can’t come soon enough.

But as far as the NLDS, we were Outhit. Outpitched. Outhustled. Outmuscled. Outcoached.

The team from the desert dominated us from the get go. And believe it or not, when Soriano flied out to right to end Game 3, it honestly didn’t hurt that much. The next day, there was no emotional hangover. It was just over and that was that.

Now, had we lost in Game 5 in the bottom of the ninth with two outs up by 3 and they hit a grand slam to move on, THAT would hurt.

Just ask the Buffalo Bills.

Saturday, October 6, 2007

NFL Week 5 Predictions: A Penny For Your Picks

Alright folks. My predictions have been awful this year. Wish there was a spin I could put on it. Just can’t. So we’re trying something new this week.

Not only will you find my own apparently-nowhere-near-expert predictions, but also those of my fiancée Shelly and another special guest – Abe Lincoln.

That’s right. I’ve been so bad, that I’ve been reduced to competing against a freaking penny.

I made my picks. Shelly made hers. For the coin, the home team was heads in each instance.

Let the best man, woman or monetary denomination win!

Eric’s picks (in all caps):
CARDS (-3.5) at Rams
FALCONS (+8.5) at Titans
Panthers at SAINTS (-3.5)
Lions at REDSKINS (-3.5)
Jaguars at CHIEFS (+2.5)
Dolphins at TEXANS (-5.5)
JETS (+3.5) at Giants
Seahwaks at STEELERS (-6.5)
TAMPA BAY (+10.5) at Colts
RAVENS (-3.5) at Niners
Chargers at BRONCOS (-1.5)
Cowboys at BILLS (+10.5)
BEARS (+3.5) at Packers
Browns at PATRIOTS (-13.5)

Lock of the Week (2-2 on the year): PATRIOTS


Shelly’s picks:
CARDINALS
FALCONS
SAINTS
LIONS
CHIEFS
DOLPHINS
GIANTS
SEAHAWKS
COLTS
RAVENS
BRONCOS
COWBOYS
BEARS
BROWNS

The Penny:
RAMS
TITANS
PANTHERS
REDSKINS
CHIEFS
TEXANS
GIANTS
SEAHAWKS
COLTS
NINERS
CHARGERS
BILLS
BEARS
BROWNS

It's All Come Down To This...

Well, this is it. It's all or nothing. Now or never. Do or die... yada, yada, yada.

After laboring through 164 pain-staking games, there literally is no tomorrow for the Chicago Cubs. It's win or go home.

The first two games couldn't have gone any worse and I find it hard to imagine there were any bullshit moral victories Lou and his staff could shine the spotlight on in the clubhouse.

What's most worrisome is I went all year without questioning Lou's decisions. Now, two games in to the postseason, that's all I'm doing.

He pulled Big Z too quick.
He left Lilly in too long.
And why on God's green earth would you bat the strikeout-prone Jacque Jones in the 2 hole in Game 1 over a contact machine like Ryan Theriot?

I don't even know what to say about the D'bax. How a team without a .300 hitter, without a guy with 100 RBI, and with a staff that includes Doug Davis and Livan Hernandez as your 2 and 3 guys, respectively, finishes with the best record in the NL is absolutely mind-boggling.

If I hear "Anyone, anytime" once more, I may spontaneously combust leaving my fiancee and my TV covered in a bloody mess.

And if sitting through two equally excrutiating games wasn't enough, TBS is all about pouring a gallon of Morton's in the wound.

Someone should put Dick Stockton out of his misery. Like it's not enough he butchers people's names, he actually at one point called us The Cowboys.

The Cowboys? That's not even the right sport dagnabbit!

Oh, and I also now officially hate Dane Cook and Frank Caliendo.

Before Game 1, I considered both guys at the top of their class when it came to the comedy game. Now, if I have to sit through one more promo of "Good Luck Chuck" telling me there's only October or one more of Frank's impersonations, I'm flying to Atlanta and pulling a Richard Jewel on the TBS studios.

Hmmm... maybe that was a tad too harsh. Oh well, moving on...

Ninety minutes and counting until the fate of Cub nation begins to unfold. I'm more nervous about Rich Hill taking the mound than what our bats will do against Livan.

Experience is priceless, and that's the one thing Livan has going for him -- it may be the only thing.

Need the Big 3 to show up in a big way. If Soriano, D-Lee and Aramis are only noticeable by their offensive absence, it's time to start planning those vacations boys.

Wrigley will be nuts. I can't help but thing the fans alone may get us out of our rut. Let's get this one under our belts.

Than I can re-type this whole blog before tomorrow's game!

GO CUBS GO!!!!!!!!

Wednesday, October 3, 2007

MLB Playoff Predictions: Division Series

So this is what baseball in October is like. A guy could get used to this.

And while Matt Holliday continues to pick pebbles out of his chin… and the umpire is hopefully still clearing the egg of his face (he missed that call, I don’t care what angle you show me and Bud Selig looks like a doosh for saying he got the plate), I offer up my Division Series predictions.

CUBS over D’bax in 4 (although if we beat Webb tonight, I might say 3)

PHILLIES over Rox in 5 (this might be the funnest series to watch)

YANKEES over Tribe in 4 (if the Bombers beat CC tonight, I might say 3)

SAWX over Halos in 4 (love the Halos heart… just too banged up)

On a side note, I have guilt-tripped my father into going to the Cubs game tonight. How can you live in Phoenix and not go see the Cubs in the playoffs?!?!

I’m jealous.

I will bury my envy in delicious layers of cheese, sauce and dough from the Lou Malnatti’s pizzas I had shipped here. I just hope they get here tonight!

I’m already hungry… for pizza and A CUBS WIN!

Alright Harry, let me hear ya...


NFL Prediction Battle: Week 3 Results

And I thought things couldn’t get any worse after putting up a 4-12 mark in back-to-back weeks in Weeks 2 and 3.

I went 2-12 this week.

Sadly, that’s not a misprint. I’m not even sure how that’s possible.

A blind female monkey could’ve picked more than 2 winners this week.


HIT:
TAMPA BAY (+.5) at Carolina
RAIDERS (+4.5) at Miami

MISSED:
RAVENS (-4.5) at Cleveland
BEARS (-2.5) at Lions
Packers at VIKINGS (+.5)
TEXANS (-2.5) at Falcons
JETS (-3.5) at Bills
RAMS (+12.5) at Dallas
NINERS (+1.5) at Seahawks
BRONCOS (+10.5) at Colts
Chiefs at CHARGERS (-14.5)
STEELERS (-4.5) at Cards
EAGLES (-2.5) at Giants
Patriots at BENGALS (+7.5)

Week 4 Total: 4-12
YEAR TO DATE: 20-42
HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH CRAIG: 0-3-1

LOCK OF THE WEEK: 2-2 on the year (0-1 this week). Shocking, I know.

This is truly embarassing.

I’ve got an awesome new strategy I’m going to unveil this week. Check back this weekend to see it.

Hey, I can’t do any worse.